Bootstrap based multi-step ahead joint forecast densities for financial interval-valued time series

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study presents two interval-valued time series approaches to construct multivariate multi-step ahead joint forecast regions based on bootstrap algorithms. The first approach is fitting a dynamic bivariate system via VAR process for minimum and maximum of the interval while second applies mid-points half-ranges series. As novel perspective, we adopt techniques into proposed obtain lower/upper bounds intervals. forecasting performances are evaluated by extensive Monte Carlo simulations real-world examples: (i) monthly S &P 500 stock indices; (ii) USD / SEK exchange rates. Our results demonstrate that capable producing valid

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara. Series A1: mathematics and statistics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1303-5991']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.31801/cfsuasmas.534711